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Introduction to Optimization Models
Carraway, Robert L.Technical Note DARDEN-QA-0682-EDecision AnalysisWe refer to a model that uses mathematical programming to find an optimal quantity as an optimization model. Thus, an optimization model differs from an evaluation model in that it goes beyond simply evaluating the consequences of proposed alternatives: It actually identifies the “optimal” alternative. How does an optimization model accomplish this impressive task? In this age of readily available computing power and ever more user-friendly softw...Starting at €8.20
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Eliciting and Evaluating Expert Forecasts
Lichtendahl, Kenneth C. Jr.Technical Note DARDEN-QA-0734-EDecision AnalysisThis note emphasizes the idea that managers will often want to ask experts to express their opinions about important business risks using the precise language of probability. Examples are drawn from the 2008 financial crisis and involve value-at-risk financial reporting. The second half of this note explains how a manager might use a scoring rule to evaluate the quality of experts' probability forecasts. This note is intended to accompany an inst...Starting at €8.20
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A GLUM Primer: The Risk-Adjusted Expected Value
Pfeifer, Phillip E.; Bodily, Samuel E.; Baucells, ManelTechnical Note DARDEN-QA-0849-EDecision AnalysisThe purpose of this note is to improve on the expected value criterion by incorporating the willingness and capability to take risk of a rational decision maker. First, this note will review the concept of expected net present value (ENPV) and demonstrate its limitations. Next, we introduce the notion of play capital, or the most one is willing to put at risk in view of one’s life circumstances, goals, and resources. Then, we introduce the genera...Starting at €8.20
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Introduction to Monte Carlo Simulation
Lewis A.; Heukamp, FranzTechnical Note ADN-273-EBusiness Ethics and Corporate Social Responsibility, Decision Analysis, Economics, Finance, Knowledge and CommunicationBasic introduction to the concept and usage of Monte Carlo Simulation.Starting at €8.20
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Excel Tips for Advanced Users
de Santiago, RafaelTechnical Note ADN-281-EDecision Analysis, FinanceThis technical note is meant to enhance the reader's ability to build Excel models or to use those developed by colleagues, clients, financial institutions or other parties. It is not an introduction to Excel (a working knowledge of the software is assumed throughout). This document cannot substitute practice. Mastering the use of Excel is a skill and, as is the case with any other type of applied knowledge, it is not enough to understand the con...Starting at €8.20
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The Case Method and the Development of Capacities for Action
Vázquez- Dodero, Juan CarlosTechnical Note ASNN-1-EDecision Analysis, Leadership and People ManagementThis technical note, based on an essay by Professor Carlos Llano of IPADE, discusses the capacities for managerial action, in particular those related to the prudential knowledge that is best acquired through the case method. Professor Llano gives a clear and illuminating account of the specific capacities or operational virtues derived from prudence: objectiviting, shrewdness, circumspection, caution, foresight and counsel, in particular.Starting at €8.20
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Toma de decisiones intuitiva: el método HAD
García-Castro, Roberto; García-Méndez, IsabelTechnical Note ADN-282Decision AnalysisEn esta nota técnica se exploran la toma de decisiones intuitivas y los errores más comunes que se cometen al decidir basándonos en intuiciones y, además, se proponen algunas pautas que han demostrado ser eficaces para evitarlos. En concreto, se describe brevemente el método HAD, una herramienta que resulta útil para un gran número de empresas y directivos.Starting at €8.20
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La función y las responsabilidades del Consejo de Administración en la empresa familiar
Ceja, Lucía; Tàpies, JosepTechnical Note SMN-693Corporate Governance, Decision Analysis, StrategyLas empresas familiares requieren mecanismos de buen gobierno para conseguir sus metas y tener éxito de generación en generación. Estas estructuras de gobierno contienen los planes, declaraciones, políticas, normas y acuerdos que permiten a las empresas familiares definir su razón de ser y su identidad. En esta nota técnica nos centraremos en una de las estructuras de gobierno empresarial más importantes de la empresa familiar: el Consejo de Admi...Starting at €8.20
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El papel de la ética en el diagnóstico y la solución de problemas directivos
Calleja, Ricardo; Marín, SergioTechnical Note BEN-137Business Ethics and Corporate Social Responsibility, Decision Analysis, Leadership and People ManagementLa presente nota ofrece, de forma resumida, una visión de las tres perspectivas fundamentales que se ponen en juego durante la resolución de conflictos directivos: la descriptiva, la instrumental y la evaluativo-normativa. La ética empresarial revela que estas tres perspectivas se encuentran relacionadas entre sí, es decir, que la actitud que tengamos ante la realidad (perspectiva evaluativa) condiciona el tipo de diagnóstico que podamos hacer d...Starting at €8.20
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Sesgos en la toma de decisiones
Huete, Luis MaríaTechnical Note PN-506Decision Analysis, Knowledge and Communication, Leadership and People ManagementBasado en los estudios experimentales del premio Nobel Daniel Kahneman, el documento ilustra el porqué de algunos fenómenos curiosos del comportamiento cotidiano. En el documento se exponen una docena de sesgos que juegan un papel frecuente en nuestra toma de decisiones, seamos o no del todo conscientes de ello. En concreto, el ser humano cuenta con dos sistemas fundamentales, y la forma en la que estos interactúan entre sí es lo que determina o ...Starting at €8.20