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An Introduction to Decision Trees (Portuguese Version, Brazil)
de Santiago, Rafael; Gorecka-Pietrucha, JustynaTechnical Note ADN-278-PBDecision AnalysisWhen facing a complex decision, the structure of the problem is oftentimes not obvious. A decision diagram can help the decision-maker understand the nature of the problem he or she is facing and evaluate the impact of risk on the final decision. It also allows us to carry out a sensitivity analysis, which investigates how sensitive our initial decision is to small changes in the relevant parameters.Starting at €8.20
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UEFA Euro 2008 (Portuguese Version, Brazil)
de Santiago, Rafael; Martínez Pedraza, ManuelCase AD-322-PBKnowledge and CommunicationThis case deals with the valuation of the risk involved in a particular business situation, and how to hedge that risk by means of insurance. It allows to show the strength of Monte Carlo simulation when dealing with complex risks. It also allows to explain a frequent bias in the decision making process.Starting at €8.20
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Decision Tools to Keep You on the Right Path (Portuguese Version, Brazil)
de Santiago, RafaelArticle ART-2451-PBDecision AnalysisSuppose you have a big decision to make, like investing in a project in a context of highly uncertain market conditions. Tools such as decision diagrams can help managers to structure problems, carefully consider alternatives and calculate the risks involved. This article shows how to use decision trees and expected value to improve your decision-making processes. However, don't be fooled into thinking that applying a "scientific" process will gu...Starting at €8.20