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Note on Scenario Planning in High-Uncertainty Environments: The Disruption Matrix
Costa, Carlos; Nueno, José LuisTechnical Note MN-405-EDecision Analysis, Innovation and Change, StrategyThe coronavirus pandemic is an unexpected external event with a profound impact on demand in all sectors that is highly conditioned by decisions that correspond to external stakeholders. After overcoming their initial shock, within this context companies have to think about their future in two or three years; however, it is very difficult for the management team to plan and define a clear strategy when it remains unknown when and how they will be...Starting at €8.20
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Facebook: Hard Questions (A)
Shotts, Ken; Malhotra, Neil; Melvin, SheilaCase SGSB-ETH15A-EDecision AnalysisIn April 2018, Facebook co-founder and CEO Mark Zuckerberg was called to Capitol Hill to be the star witness at congressional hearings intended to examine Facebook’s “breaches of trust” with its users and “larger questions about the fundamental relationship tech companies have with their users.” Zuckerberg admitted that his company faced “a number of important issues around privacy, safety, and democracy” but emphasized that his company was “idea...Starting at €8.20
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The WNBA-WNBPA 2020 Collective Bargaining Agreement Negotiations: Betting Big on Women
Foster, George; Melvin, Sheila; Garrido; Kristine RoseCase SGSB-SPM62-EDecision AnalysisOn November 1, 2018, the Women’s National Basketball Players Association (WNBPA) informed the league that it had decided to opt out of the Collective Bargaining Agreement (CBA) that had been signed in 2014 and was scheduled to run through 2021. The opt-out, which was not unexpected, triggered a period of negotiation that was described by WNBPA President Nneka Ogwumike as “incredibly complex.” This case takes students inside this complicated neg...Starting at €8.20
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Herramientas para tomar mejores decisiones
Santiago Hernando, Rafael deArticle ART-2451Decision AnalysisSuponga que ha de tomar una decisión muy importante, como invertir en un proyecto en un momento de gran incertidumbre en el mercado. Herramientas como los árboles de decisión pueden ayudarle a estructurar los problemas, sopesar alternativas y calcular los riesgos. Este artículo le enseña a usar estas herramientas y el valor esperado para mejorar sus decisiones. Pero no se engañe, la adopción de un proceso "científico" no es garantía de éxito. A p...Starting at €8.20
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The Opioid Epidemic (B): Responses to the Crisis
Shotts, Ken; Melvin, SheilaCase SGSB-ETH18B-EDecision AnalysisBetween 1999 and 2017, almost 400,000 Americans died from an opioid overdose. An average of 130 died each day in 2017, six times the daily rate in 1999. These deaths were caused by both prescription opioids and illegal opioids like heroin and illicitly manufactured fentanyl, or IMF. The most common drugs involved in prescription opioid overdose deaths were methadone, oxycodone (like OxyContin), and hydrocodone (like Vicodin). The A case, which ...Starting at €5.74
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Nota sobre planificación por escenarios en entornos de alta incertidumbre: matriz de disrupción
Costa, Carlos; Nueno, José LuisTechnical Note MN-405Decision Analysis, Innovation and Change, StrategyLa pandemia de la COVID-19 es un suceso externo inesperado con un profundo impacto en la demanda y en la competencia de cada sector, y que se encuentra muy condicionado por decisiones que corresponden a stakeholders externos. En este entorno y tras superar el shock inicial, las empresas tienen que pensar en el futuro dentro de dos o tres años, y resulta muy difícil, para el equipo directivo, planificar y definir una estrategia determinada, cuand...Starting at €8.20
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Meta and Political Speech
Shotts, Ken; Melvin, SheilaCase SGSB-ETH34-EDecision AnalysisBy 2022, Meta was the world’s largest social media company, with around 3 billion users sharing 140 billion messages and a billion stories a day. Over 200 million businesses used Meta apps like Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp. Meta’s primary source of revenue was advertising. Its proclaimed mission was to “give people the power to build community and bring the world closer together” and its principles were to “give people a voice, build connect...Starting at €8.20
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Decision Tools to Keep You on the Right Path
Santiago Hernando, Rafael deArticle ART-2451-EDecision AnalysisSuppose you have a big decision to make, like investing in a project in a context of highly uncertain market conditions. Tools such as decision diagrams can help managers to structure problems, carefully consider alternatives and calculate the risks involved. This article shows how to use decision trees and expected value to improve your decision-making processes. However, don't be fooled into thinking that applying a "scientific" process will gu...Starting at €8.20